Check coastal alerts and tide information
A little more drama has been added to this weekend's nor'easter threat. A higher-resolution computer model has now come into view, and it is more in line with an out-to-sea solution. The system would still have impacts, but they would be more confined to coastal areas.
The drama comes from a very reliable mid-range model. The "Euro" or European model has been very consistent in bringing a nor'easter up the coast and battering the whole state with wind-driven rain. The newest "run" has the storm tracking even further west, towards the New Jersey coastline. This scenario would increase the chances of rain and wind and amounts. I am hoping this solution is the outlier and does not come to fruition.
Coastal flooding will continue to be problematic during the high tide cycles for the next few days. Low-lying areas in the back bay of Barnegat Bay are most at risk for at least minor flooding of 1-3 feet of inundation as a result of the high tide enhanced by the east wind and the full moon.
The winds continue tonight. The temperatures cool off dramatically as the wind from the ocean steers in the cooler air. A strong area of high pressure to our north is also funneling in dry, cooler air from Canada and upstate New York.
Thursday features a little more sunshine. The winds continue to howl, and the temperatures struggle again to just flirt with maybe 70 degrees for a high temperature.
FUTURECAST:
TIDES:
