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STORM WATCH: Storm's path matters but it will impact coastal New Jersey either way

An east vs west track can mean the difference between flooding rain and not, but strong coastal winds and erosion are expected as a storm develops east of the state. 

Mike Rizzo

Sep 23, 2026, 6:15 AM

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Newark, New Jersey • Climate data: Newark Liberty International Airport (EWR)
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Check coastal alerts and tide information

A storm is not imminent, but a 2-scenario set up is possible for Sunday's nearby coastal storm.

Regardless of track, those at the coast should anticipate strong winds and coastal flooding, but the proximity of the storm track provides deeper impacts. A west track is worse, putting more rain, wind, and waves into NJ. This could come with flooding rainfall, too.

An east track is still bad for the coast, but inland areas would end up with a fair-weather day with sun and clouds despite it still being a bit breezy.

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Between now and then expect generally fair, breezy, and cool conditions. Coastal gusts can increase over the next few days to near 30-40 mph. High temperatures will be in the mid 60s if not the lower 70s.

Coastal flooding can cause flooding during the high tide cycles for the next few days. Low-lying areas in the back bay of Barnegat Bay are most at risk for at least minor flooding of 1-3 feet of inundation as a result of the high tide enhanced by the east wind and the full moon.

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FUTURECAST:

TIDES:

New Jersey Tides

Barnegat Inlet, NJ [8533615]

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Data comes from NOAA CO-OPS. Tide heights are in feet above MLLW. Some stations may not report all recent observations.

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